2024年中國GDP成長5.2%？ |為什麼我們的感受與統計局不符
Recently, the National Bureau of Statistics released the preliminary statistics of the 2023 China Economic Annual Report . The annual GDP was 126.06 trillion yuan, an increase of 5.2% over the previous year. The national per capita GDP was 89,400 yuan, calculated based on the average exchange rate of RMB against the US dollar
In 2023 . Our country’s per capita GDP has reached 12,690 US dollars. Although this number is still far from the standard of developed countries with a per capita GDP of more than 20,000 US dollars , our living standards are actually higher than
Some entry-level developed countries with a per capita GDP of 20,000 US dollars. If you don’t believe it, we can make a specific comparison with Slovakia, a famous developed country goalkeeper. In 2023, China’s urban residents account for 65% of the total population. The per capita income is 51,80021 yuan , while Slovakia’s
Per capita GDP is 21,300 US dollars , but the per capita disposable income is only 5,808 yuan. The euro was 41,167 yuan based on the current exchange rate, which is almost 80% of China’s. This shows that at least in cities and towns, the living standards of Chinese people are higher
Than that of Slovakia, whose per capita GDP exceeds 20,000 US dollars. This is just a city. If we talk about China’s first-tier cities, I’m afraid Compared with Japan, South Korea and the law, it is almost the same. Of course, the data is just data. In real life,
China is more like a developed country than the data. The answer of a Slovak netizen on Zhihu can illustrate this problem very well. He said that I have lived in Slovakia for 19 years and came to China. In the past 4 years, I
Have been relatively familiar with goalkeepers in developed countries such as China, Slovakia, Lithuania , Poland and the Czech Republic . First of all, life in China is almost the same as most of the best countries. It is not because I can live a very high life in Europe and
Then I retreat when I come to China. Over the past ten years, China has had a particularly big advantage, which is that living in China can have very low prices and relatively developed science and technology. This is something that I basically cannot experience in other countries. For example, in Austria,
Germany has good technology and good cars. There are clean toilets in high-rise buildings and shopping malls now, but things are very expensive. In Austria, an average meal may cost 25 euros, which is very expensive. The average income of Austrians is 3,819 euros . In Thailand and Malaysia, things are very cheap.
You can eat whatever you want, but you can buy whatever you want. It’s easy to have diarrhea after the disease , and it’s not very hygienic. There are no high-tech things at all, and there are no beautiful shopping malls. But in China, you can find everything. Although I feel happy that
I can pay with Taobao WeChat. I have spent more than 10,000 yuan on Taobao. Some cute little things are only 1.5 euros in Miniso. These things may cost 10 euros in my country. Another Slovak netizen agreed with his point of view and said that the price of food in Chinese gathering restaurants
Is much cheaper than in Slovakia , even in places like Hangzhou. Eating in such a big city is also cheaper than in Slovakia. At the highest price, you have to leave a tip for your waiter. The tip should be about 10% to 20% of what you paid for the food.
So their conclusion is that although Slovakia’s GDP per capita is higher than China is high , but its actual living standard is not as good as China’s. Now the question arises : why can the living standard of Chinese people with a per capita GDP of US$13,000
Exceed that of countries with a per capita GDP of more than US$20,000 ? Why does China’s actual living standard not match its GDP? In 2023 , the U.S. House of Representatives 415:0 voted unanimously to pass the leaving motion , requiring the United States to no longer recognize China as a developing country.
The reason is that China has already become the world’s second largest economy and has even surpassed the United States . It should be positioned as a developed country or a middle-to-high-income country . Although this matter It’s because the Americans want to find a reason to cancel China’s last-country trade status.
But from another perspective, it also shows that China’s actual living standards cannot be measured only by GDP per capita. First, China’s GDP is seriously underestimated. The calculation method of GDP is to The value generated by domestic production activities is accumulated. The calculated value reflects the increment
. However, the currencies used by different countries are different. How to compare them together? Because the US dollar is an international currency , everyone is accustomed to converting their own GDP statistics into US dollars and then sorting them. But this sorting method itself is unscientific because it involves an exchange rate.
Let’s take an example. If a country’s currency exchange rate suddenly depreciates by half , then it can be said that the country’s economic aggregate has also been halved. Obviously this is not accurate. Look at 2022 The Russian economy in 2022 is estimated to have declined by 2%. However, because the ruble has
Appreciated against the U.S. dollar, it is converted into U.S. dollars. If we look at Russia’s economic growth of 19% , does this mean that Russia’s economy will grow by 19% in 2022? So considering that GDP cannot be fully To accurately measure a country’s economic strength, the World Bank decided
To conduct an international comparison project in 2011. ICP evaluates the purchasing power levels of various countries. According to this evaluation result, although China’s GDP is only 70% of that of the United States , if China’s current actual GDP is calculated based on purchasing power To exceed the United States by 30%
, that is, China’s actual GDP is more than 50% higher than the current level. If it is based on the IMF’s PDP, it can be understood as per capita purchasing power. The algorithm result of GDP is almost the same. If the price of hundreds of commodities is calculated,
The comparison result of per capita GDP is mid-range . The GDP per capita purchasing power of the United States is 1:3.6 , which is only about half of the exchange rate . If GDP is calculated based on the purchasing power of the two countries, China has surpassed the United States
And ranked first in the world , and it is 23.55% higher. Musk said that the size of the Chinese economy This is calculated as two or three times that of the United States. This result takes into account the difference in currency purchasing power. After all, in China ,
Because the prices of goods and services are relatively low, Chinese people can buy more with a lower income than in European countries. Goods and Services For example, the average income of Taiwanese people is NT$36,000, which is equivalent to about 7,000 RMB. However, the price of goods in Taiwan is more than twice
That of the mainland. How much is this income level equivalent to that of the mainland? It is only two to three thousand yuan. This shows that the income level of Taiwan is higher than that of the mainland. Is it high? The second is that China is the only country in the world
That has implemented a fully industrialized system and has a high degree of self- development . We often hear that China is the only country with a fully industrialized system that can build anything. But the greatest power of the national optimization system is not that it can do everything.
Everything can be made at a cabbage price so that the Chinese people can afford it. So although the Chinese only look at wages, It’s not as high as in developed countries , but is there any difference between the TVs , refrigerators, air conditioners, mobile phones, etc.
That everyone uses and those in developed countries? As long as we can make our own products, Chinese people don’t have to pay high prices to buy imported goods. When Santana was localized , the domestic production rate could never go up to
Zero . Parts had to be purchased from Germany with precious foreign exchange , so the price never came down. At that time, buying a Santana worth more than 100,000 yuan was basically equivalent to buying a 2 million luxury car now . But now,
Everyone has heard about the car involution war in 2023. I said that the price of a car like the Buick Verano has dropped to 70,000 to 80,000 yuan , so that ordinary working-class people could almost afford it three years ago. This is China’s industrialization system giving technology products to China
At cabbage prices. People have brought benefits. Interestingly, the current price inversion has appeared in foreign countries. Not long ago, an ID6 model was launched in Germany. The price is 60,000 euros. Plus the dealer’s profit, the final price exceeds 80,000 euros . How much does the ID6 cost in China?
200,000 and a little over 20,000 euros , this one is the only one that has lost seven sales due to the involution of Chinese manufacturers. Then this situation was discovered by the smart man Gregory Brudney. He thought that he bought the ID6 that could not be sold in the Chinese market.
Then shipping it to Europe was cheaper than the ID6 from Germany even after including tariffs and shipping costs . So he bought 22 ID6s produced by SAIC Volkswagen and shipped them to Europe to make a fortune . But before he could take out the food , Volkswagen called the police and seized it.
The reason is very simple. If you ship low-priced cars produced in China to Europe, how can you sell high-priced cars produced in Germany ? Why is the German ID6 priced so high ? Isn’t it because Germany does not have an electric vehicle industry chain
And parts have to be imported from China, resulting in high costs ? The problem faced by SAIC Santana is exactly the same. The car is just an example. In fact , the price of this kind of industrial product after localization is reflected in all aspects . But we are in it and
Take it for granted. We can’t feel it. Can you imagine how much it can be sold in Europe ? A garbage bag worth 9 yuan and 9 free shipping, a car washing machine worth tens of yuan, a down jacket worth a few hundred yuan, an air conditioner and a washing machine
Worth several thousand yuan . Why are Chinese products so popular after they go overseas ? Isn’t it because of the absolute price advantage? Even if the price is more expensive than in China, it is still The Europeans can’t put it down if they want to grab it. Another example is agriculture.
Although China is a big agricultural country , agriculture has basically got rid of the inefficient model of pure human labor in the past and realized industrialization. This industrialization can be divided into three parts: pre-production agricultural materials, agricultural machinery, and agricultural materials. Agricultural materials mainly refer to seeds, chemical fertilizers, pesticides, and plastic films.
For example, the production of seeds requires biological science and compounds. The production environment has a high level of industrialization , with various modern equipment for collection, recycling, quality inspection, sorting, refrigeration , and pesticides, needless to say, are all industrialized. The formulation still requires R&D, testing, production and other work and tools,
As well as cheap plastic films and plastic water pipes to double the efficiency of land cultivation in northern areas through greenhouse planting, sowing and harvesting on cultivated land, mechanized combine seeders and combine harvesters, which we have seen a lot . What’s more, the most awesome thing is that even the American agricultural
Aircraft we used to envy for spraying pesticides have been overtaken by Chinese drones. When using plant protection drones to spray pesticides, farmers only need to charge some electricity. One acre of land costs only 5 How can a manned pesticide machine in the United States compare to post-production logistics
? With perfect infrastructure and developed logistics, Chinese vegetables and fruits can enter thousands of households as quickly as possible . If you pick jelly oranges in Sichuan today, they may arrive tomorrow. Beijing puts supermarket shelves on shelves. That’s why China only has half of India’s arable land,
But twice as much food production as India. Chinese people consume 500 kilograms of fruits and vegetables, ranking first in the world. Why do Chinese people eat fish, meat, fruits and vegetables cheaply? Developed countries like Japan and South Korea only eat meat and fruits. Watermelons that are not easily seen are all greedy
Because their commodity prices , especially agricultural products, are n times more expensive than in China. However, due to the consideration of protecting domestic agriculture, large quantities of watermelons cannot be imported . Even the breeding industry in China is based on scale and industrialization. If
You look at the 26-story pig breeding building in Ezhou, Hubei, and then look at the tens of thousands of square meters of breeding cages in the South China Sea, you will know why the Chinese can still create per capita meat consumption and per
Capita aquatic products in the world with not so high income. It is one of the top six miracles in the world in terms of consumption. The third is the characteristic socialist system. A very important aspect that affects living standards is daily necessary expenses. To put it simply, the more necessary expenses you have,
The less you will consume. First, look at the electricity price. The electricity price for Chinese residents is about It is 15 cents per kilowatt, which is equivalent to about 0.08 US dollars. In Europe , the household electricity price in Italy , the United Kingdom and Ireland is the highest in the world
Because it is 0.56 US dollars per kilowatt. The electricity price in the UK is slightly cheaper at 0.46 US dollars per kilowatt . Even the cheapest France is 0.25 US dollars. Not to mention the US$0.48 in Poland and Slovakia. Let’s look at the water price
In China. The price of water in China is generally around 3 yuan per ton. Even the precious water in Beijing is only 5 yuan. In Europe , the price of water includes sewage charges, and the price is generally 6-8. Let’s compare the transportation prices, which are about 1,000 yuan per ton. Spain is
The country with the longest high-speed rail operation mileage in the world after China. Due to the scale effect, it is also the cheapest high-speed rail in Europe. The high-speed rail fare from Madrid, Spain, to Barcelona, which is about 600 kilometers, is 120 euros
Is a little later than the distance from Beijing to Zhengzhou. The ticket price of China’s high-speed rail is more than 400 yuan. Moreover, Spain’s high-speed rail is 200-250 kilometers per hour, while China’s high-speed rail is 350 kilometers per hour. This means that China’s high-speed rail is faster and faster. Cheaper
In fact, the average price of high-speed rail passenger transport in China is the lowest in the world, about 0.04 euros per kilometer, which is far lower than Spain’s 0.19 euros and France’s 0.2 euros, Germany’s 0.27 euros, Italy’s 0.25 euros, and Japan’s 0.22 euros.
Some people say how do you do this? Only the absolute value is calculated , not the proportion in the average salary. Don’t over-calculate. We calculated the proportion of high-speed rail fare per 100 kilometers to the per capita monthly salary. The result is Spain 1.05%, France 0.81%, Germany 1.29%, Italy 1.33%, Japan 1.14 %
China 0.80% Therefore, China’s daily necessary expenses are very small. In other words, the happiness index is relatively high . Why are these public services in China so cheap? It is very simple. The superiority of socialism is that socialism has two major principles : efficiency first and ensuring fairness
, and there are corresponding institutional guarantees. This system is most beneficial to two groups. One is that young people only need to be smart and willing to work hard , as long as their luck is not too bad. Ten or twenty years can change the destiny. Secondly , it can
Provide reliable guarantees to the people at the bottom and maintain social stability to the greatest extent. Therefore, the benefits of public goods enjoyed by the people at the bottom of China far exceed those of all developing countries in the world , including public water, electricity and electricity networks
. In order to be able to provide these public services at low prices, public goods such as transportation, basic education, and medical care must be monopolized by state-owned enterprises over the international people’s livelihood industry. When it comes to monopoly, countless people jump up and curse. But think about it
If these areas that are related to the international people’s livelihood are really Who suffered from the privatization ? Look at the 1993 privatization reform of the British Railways. The railways were divided into two parts: the state-owned railway infrastructure part, the rail signals, roads, bridges, railway stations and parking lots
, and the private train service operating company. As a result, the state-owned railway infrastructure The facility part is not profitable and the government needs to provide large subsidies while the private operating company blindly pursues profits. Prices increase every three days and now have increased by 45% .
The CEO of the operating company also said that the fare increase is also for the long-term improvement and development plan of the railway. But the problem is Prices have increased, but the service industry has not improved. British trains are late every day, dumping passengers on the road, and it often happens
So late. The result is that the government spends a lot of money, even more than during the national transportation period. As a result, the service has not improved . As for China and India, all the money has gone to the private sector. Therefore , even though various privatization voices are loud
In Chinese society, at the national level, transportation, communication, network, water and electricity prices, education and medical subjects are controlled by the state. After all, this is the last bottom line for the people’s basic life.
If these areas of national economy and people’s livelihood are included Who can guarantee that if it is left to private enterprises , they will not increase prices significantly? We have actually seen the results of privatizing cities in the two fields of education and medical care. Therefore, the main reason why
Chinese people’s living standards are much higher than China’s per capita GDP level is that GDP has been Underestimating the industrialization of processing to provide cheap goods and warm social services in a socialist country. Okay, friends, let’s talk about this first. If you have any insights or suggestions, please
Leave a message in the comment area to discuss together . Thank you for watching. See you in the next issue.
2024年中國GDP成長5.2%？ |為什麼我們的感受與統計局不符
————————————————————————————
Follow me for more exciting content
https://www.youtube.com/@xiuhuawu-wy8me
更多精彩刺激的劇集等待你的觀看 !!!
Please subscribe to my channel for more exciting videos !